Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Why it moved: +3 points at 17:54 UTC, after The A.V. Club: A field trip to Pompeii turns improbably erotic in La Gradiva trailer — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 23 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Sept, 17:54 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 06:45 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Sept, 09:31 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Sept, 08:37 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 49% |
| 20 Sept, 23:24 UTC | 49% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 51% |
| 19 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 52% |
| 19 Sept, 17:07 UTC | 52% |
| 19 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 52% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Sept, 15:04 UTC | 54% |
| 17 Sept, 10:14 UTC | 55% |
| 16 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if The Odyssey wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if another film wins or if The Odyssey is not officially nominated when nominees are announced on January 21, 2027. Readers often mistake the nomination date for the resolution deadline; the actual winner is determined by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 49%
- No 52%
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