Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Implied probability 8%+1
24-hour volume$378
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 10:08 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 09:20 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 06:45 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 05:11 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 21:33 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 18:34 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 11:44 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 09:46 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 07:28 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 01:35 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Sept, 16:57 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 14:04 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 03:43 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Sept, 16:42 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Sept, 16:24 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 10:23 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 08:44 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 07:16 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 02:52 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 02:00 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 01:49 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 00:58 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 00:18 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 23:56 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 22:01 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 21:35 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 09:33 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 15:18 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 13:53 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 13:25 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Patrick Mahomes is officially named the 2026 NFL MVP. The No outcome applies if any other player wins the award or if the season ends without a declared winner by the deadline. Readers often mistake the date of the linked game for the resolution deadline, but the market depends solely on the official award announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%
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