Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 22:14 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 21:23 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 12:15 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 10:56 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 09:51 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Nov, 08:13 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 07:17 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 23:15 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 17:13 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 08:14 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Nov, 07:38 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 39% |
| 5 Nov, 05:42 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 10:51 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Nov, 10:29 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Nov, 09:14 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 11:13 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 10:09 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 09:47 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 08:39 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Nov, 07:34 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Nov, 06:51 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Nov, 05:12 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the "Yes" outcome to occur, NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the close of trading on November 30, 2026. The "No" outcome applies if any other company exceeds NVIDIA's value at that specific time. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a spy plot as relevant to the resolution, but only the final market cap ranking matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 71%
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