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Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Implied probability 15%+3
24-hour volume$90
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
0%50%100%15%28 Oct, 06:11 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now15%
29 Oct, 06:11 UTC15%
28 Oct, 06:11 UTC13%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves based on whether Donald Trump makes between 180 and 199 posts on Truth Social from October 27 at noon ET to November 3 at noon ET. Only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward this total; replies do not. Readers often mistake the secondary source for the primary one or miss that deleted posts only count if they remain visible long enough for the tracker to capture them.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 15%
  • No 85%

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