Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$123
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Nov, 11:38 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 00:34 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 13:30 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 00:51 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 87% |
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What counts
Democrats win if they take the largest share of Latino men in national House exit polls from CNN as it appears on their website at noon ET on November 6, 2026. If CNN data is missing then, the market waits one day before checking CBS or ABC for the same polling.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%
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