Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Implied probability 27%−7
24-hour volume$112k
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$76k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
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What counts
Apple must hold the highest global market capitalization at the exact moment the stock market closes on December 31, 2026. The outcome depends on the final closing prices of all major companies on that specific date. Readers often mistake intraday highs or news reports for the official resolution data.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 27%
- No 73%