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Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves24 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
0%50%100%1%17 Sept, 04:18 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
24 Sept, 03:52 UTC1%
24 Sept, 03:13 UTC2%
24 Sept, 02:18 UTC1%
24 Sept, 01:21 UTC1%
23 Sept, 23:41 UTC0%
23 Sept, 23:27 UTC1%
23 Sept, 22:55 UTC1%
23 Sept, 22:27 UTC2%
23 Sept, 21:50 UTC3%
23 Sept, 21:16 UTC3%
23 Sept, 20:55 UTC3%
23 Sept, 20:27 UTC3%
23 Sept, 19:47 UTC4%
23 Sept, 19:21 UTC3%
23 Sept, 18:54 UTC1%
23 Sept, 18:25 UTC3%
23 Sept, 17:59 UTC2%
23 Sept, 17:11 UTC3%
23 Sept, 16:49 UTC3%
23 Sept, 16:27 UTC3%
23 Sept, 15:54 UTC2%
23 Sept, 15:24 UTC4%
23 Sept, 14:54 UTC4%
23 Sept, 14:23 UTC4%
23 Sept, 04:54 UTC2%
23 Sept, 04:28 UTC2%
23 Sept, 03:10 UTC2%
23 Sept, 02:57 UTC1%
23 Sept, 02:26 UTC1%
23 Sept, 01:59 UTC1%
23 Sept, 01:27 UTC1%
23 Sept, 00:34 UTC1%
23 Sept, 00:28 UTC2%
22 Sept, 23:47 UTC2%
22 Sept, 22:41 UTC3%
22 Sept, 21:53 UTC3%
22 Sept, 21:19 UTC3%
22 Sept, 19:17 UTC6%
22 Sept, 18:58 UTC7%
22 Sept, 18:15 UTC6%
22 Sept, 17:54 UTC6%
22 Sept, 17:20 UTC6%
22 Sept, 16:46 UTC7%
22 Sept, 16:28 UTC8%
22 Sept, 15:40 UTC8%
22 Sept, 15:17 UTC8%
22 Sept, 14:50 UTC8%
22 Sept, 14:28 UTC8%
22 Sept, 13:57 UTC8%
22 Sept, 13:23 UTC8%
22 Sept, 12:57 UTC8%
22 Sept, 12:20 UTC9%
22 Sept, 11:59 UTC9%
22 Sept, 11:27 UTC9%
22 Sept, 10:43 UTC9%
22 Sept, 10:26 UTC9%
22 Sept, 09:36 UTC9%
22 Sept, 09:27 UTC9%
22 Sept, 08:56 UTC9%
22 Sept, 08:14 UTC9%
22 Sept, 07:57 UTC9%
22 Sept, 07:26 UTC9%
22 Sept, 06:57 UTC8%
22 Sept, 06:02 UTC8%
22 Sept, 05:54 UTC8%
22 Sept, 05:23 UTC8%
22 Sept, 04:59 UTC8%
22 Sept, 03:15 UTC7%
22 Sept, 02:48 UTC8%
22 Sept, 02:27 UTC8%
22 Sept, 01:53 UTC8%
22 Sept, 01:25 UTC8%
22 Sept, 00:59 UTC8%
22 Sept, 00:26 UTC9%
21 Sept, 23:55 UTC9%
21 Sept, 23:28 UTC9%
21 Sept, 22:41 UTC10%
21 Sept, 22:22 UTC10%
21 Sept, 21:16 UTC10%
21 Sept, 20:56 UTC11%
21 Sept, 20:27 UTC11%
21 Sept, 19:55 UTC11%
21 Sept, 19:28 UTC11%
21 Sept, 18:58 UTC11%
21 Sept, 18:05 UTC11%
21 Sept, 17:43 UTC11%
21 Sept, 17:23 UTC11%
21 Sept, 16:43 UTC15%
21 Sept, 16:15 UTC15%
21 Sept, 15:36 UTC15%
21 Sept, 13:32 UTC15%
21 Sept, 11:37 UTC15%
21 Sept, 11:23 UTC15%
21 Sept, 10:24 UTC15%
21 Sept, 09:46 UTC15%
21 Sept, 08:37 UTC15%
21 Sept, 08:24 UTC15%
21 Sept, 06:10 UTC15%
21 Sept, 05:55 UTC15%
21 Sept, 05:09 UTC15%
21 Sept, 00:07 UTC15%
20 Sept, 21:46 UTC15%
20 Sept, 20:54 UTC15%
20 Sept, 19:47 UTC15%
20 Sept, 17:52 UTC15%
20 Sept, 16:29 UTC15%
20 Sept, 15:28 UTC15%
20 Sept, 14:49 UTC15%
20 Sept, 13:43 UTC16%
20 Sept, 13:16 UTC17%
20 Sept, 11:36 UTC17%
20 Sept, 11:25 UTC17%
20 Sept, 10:21 UTC17%
20 Sept, 09:41 UTC17%
20 Sept, 09:27 UTC17%
20 Sept, 08:23 UTC17%
20 Sept, 07:46 UTC17%
20 Sept, 07:21 UTC17%
20 Sept, 06:58 UTC18%
20 Sept, 06:25 UTC18%
20 Sept, 05:59 UTC18%
20 Sept, 05:28 UTC18%
20 Sept, 04:53 UTC16%
20 Sept, 04:26 UTC15%
20 Sept, 03:56 UTC15%
20 Sept, 03:24 UTC15%
20 Sept, 02:54 UTC16%
20 Sept, 02:27 UTC16%
20 Sept, 01:31 UTC17%
20 Sept, 01:24 UTC17%
20 Sept, 00:34 UTC17%
20 Sept, 00:15 UTC17%
19 Sept, 23:58 UTC17%
19 Sept, 23:25 UTC18%
19 Sept, 22:55 UTC17%
19 Sept, 22:29 UTC17%
19 Sept, 21:34 UTC17%
19 Sept, 21:27 UTC17%
19 Sept, 20:57 UTC18%
19 Sept, 20:24 UTC20%
19 Sept, 19:42 UTC20%
19 Sept, 19:25 UTC19%
19 Sept, 18:58 UTC19%
19 Sept, 18:22 UTC20%
19 Sept, 17:50 UTC20%
19 Sept, 17:07 UTC21%
19 Sept, 16:55 UTC16%
19 Sept, 16:11 UTC16%
19 Sept, 15:30 UTC16%
19 Sept, 14:13 UTC15%
19 Sept, 13:48 UTC15%
19 Sept, 13:24 UTC15%
19 Sept, 12:33 UTC15%
19 Sept, 12:27 UTC15%
19 Sept, 11:55 UTC15%
19 Sept, 10:33 UTC16%
19 Sept, 10:21 UTC16%
19 Sept, 09:50 UTC16%
19 Sept, 09:25 UTC16%
19 Sept, 08:59 UTC16%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC16%
17 Sept, 05:05 UTC15%
17 Sept, 04:18 UTC14%

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What counts

For the "Yes" outcome to occur, RNI must win the most seats in Morocco's House of Representatives during the September 23, 2026 legislative election. The "No" outcome applies if any other party wins more seats than RNI. Readers often mistakenly focus on vote totals rather than seat counts, but this market resolves strictly based on the number of seats won by each party.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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