Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved20 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 18:55 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 16:40 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 05:15 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Sept, 03:48 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Sept, 02:52 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Sept, 01:29 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Sept, 23:49 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Sept, 21:20 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 52% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →