Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves24 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 14:50 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The outcome depends on whether the Bank of Russia raises its key rate following the October 23, 2026 meeting compared to the level before that meeting. The market resolves based on the official press release from the Bank of Russia listed on its calendar. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline or assume no change counts as a decrease.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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