Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 19:03 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 18:41 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 50% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires the final fully diluted valuation stated in the SEC-filed prospectus to fall between $1.25 trillion and $1.50 trillion. The No outcome applies if that specific valuation is outside this range or if no IPO prices by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistakenly use the stock price on the first day of trading instead of the fixed offering price defined in the final prospectus.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%
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