Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$99k
Liquidity$39k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 23:57 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 12:35 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 08:19 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 15:02 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 13:25 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 12:03 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 22:52 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Sept, 17:45 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 23:43 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 23:20 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 20:41 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 19:26 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 18:55 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 17:48 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 15:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 14:21 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 12:52 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 10:05 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 23:49 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%
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