Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$44
Total volume$129k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically enters North Korean land or sea territory by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome depends strictly on his physical presence within the country's borders, not on whether he flies over its airspace. Readers often mistake aerial flights for a visit, but only actual entry onto North Korean soil or water counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
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