Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27?
The market favoured No at 61% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$40k
Total volume$42k
Liquidity$73k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 42% |
| 26 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 41% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea FC wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or loss, or if it is canceled entirely without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular time counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →