Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 21:39 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 17:49 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 01:11 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 10:51 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 09:40 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 22:00 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 19:31 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 18:24 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Pete Hegseth stops serving as Secretary of Defense at any point before September 30 at 11:59 PM ET, or if he announces his resignation or removal by that deadline. The No outcome applies if he remains in office for the entire period without such an announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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