Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Why it moved: +5 points at 11:45 UTC, after NME: Danny Boyle backs Jack O’Connell as next James Bond, discusses his cancelled film — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 2 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 13:00 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 10:23 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 08:27 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 16:52 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 13:02 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 42% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 42% |
| 26 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 32% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 16:58 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 16:11 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 14:32 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 08:52 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 08:26 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jack Lowden is officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios or credible reporting consensus. Readers often mistake the deadline for a different date or assume any rumor counts as an official announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 61%
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