Ohio State vs. USC
The market favoured Ohio State at 69% a day out, but USC won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$869k
Total volume$3
Liquidity$144k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 69% |
What counts
Ohio State wins if it scores more points than USC in regulation or overtime. USC wins if it scores more points than Ohio State in regulation or overtime. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the market closes at kickoff rather than after the final whistle.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Ohio State 0%
- USC 100%
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