Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
Why it moved: +28 points at 22:57 UTC, after SkySports: Hamilton pips Russell to become oldest pole sitter in 44 years! — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 02:50 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Nov, 00:00 UTC | 36% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 37% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 37% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 36% |
| 30 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Lewis Hamilton must finish first in the race as listed in the FIA's Final Classification. For the No outcome, any other driver must take that top spot according to the same official report. Readers often mistake the podium ceremony or post-race disqualifications for the final result, but only the published classification counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%
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