Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?
The market favoured No at 61% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$73k
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City WFC wins the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, based on the result within regular play and stoppage time. It resolves to No if they do not win, including ties or losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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