Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Why it moved: +29 points at 06:11 UTC, after Latest articles: Bloomberg and trading firms to pay Truth Social for fast access to Trump’s posts — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves based on the total count of Donald Trump's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts on Truth Social between October 23 at 12:00 PM ET and October 30 at 12:00 PM ET, 2026. Replies do not count unless they appear on his main feed, and deleted posts count if they remain visible for about five minutes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%
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