Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$2.4M
Liquidity$0
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 11:18 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 04:27 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 22:45 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 10:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 04:07 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 03:03 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 12:08 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 06:47 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 04:31 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 03:33 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 02:01 UTC | 5% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome triggers if any other team wins or if the Red Sox are eliminated before winning it all. Readers often mistake the linked story about clinching a playoff berth for a resolution, but that does not count as winning the championship.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →