Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$260
Total volume$126k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 09:42 UTC | 100% |
What counts
Apple must make a MacBook with a true touchscreen available for public purchase by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement or an iMac does not count as a qualifying release. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or assume that any Apple device with touch capability satisfies the condition.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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