Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Implied probability 69%+1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$74k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 21 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 69% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 10:17 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 71% |
| 21 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 70% |
| 20 Sept, 23:24 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 69% |
| 20 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 68% |
| 20 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 68% |
| 20 Sept, 16:57 UTC | 68% |
| 20 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 69% |
| 20 Sept, 09:03 UTC | 70% |
| 20 Sept, 02:04 UTC | 69% |
| 19 Sept, 14:13 UTC | 69% |
| 19 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 67% |
| 19 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 67% |
| 19 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 67% |
| 19 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 67% |
| 18 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 70% |
| 18 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 72% |
| 18 Sept, 00:35 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Sept, 21:48 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Sept, 20:38 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Sept, 20:19 UTC | 76% |
| 17 Sept, 19:57 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Sept, 18:02 UTC | 74% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 67% |
| 17 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 66% |
| 17 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 64% |
| 17 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 68% |
| 17 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 69% |
| 17 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 69% |
| 17 Sept, 13:49 UTC | 67% |
| 17 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 69% |
| 17 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 67% |
| 17 Sept, 12:28 UTC | 66% |
| 17 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 66% |
| 16 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
Apple must make a MacBook with a true touchscreen available for public purchase by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement or an iMac does not count as a qualifying release. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or assume that any Apple device with touch capability satisfies the condition.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%
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