Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$133
Total volume$68k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves15 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 05:16 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 6% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Lamar Jackson is officially named the 2026 NFL MVP. The No outcome applies if any other player wins the award or if no winner is declared by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his injury status as relevant to the final award decision, but only the official MVP announcement matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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