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Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?

Resolved: Yes 33d ago

The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?
0%50%100%100%19 Sept, 08:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
23 Sept, 22:12 UTC100%
23 Sept, 19:21 UTC99%
23 Sept, 18:54 UTC99%
23 Sept, 15:54 UTC99%
23 Sept, 13:07 UTC100%
23 Sept, 12:31 UTC100%
23 Sept, 11:51 UTC99%
23 Sept, 10:50 UTC99%
23 Sept, 10:11 UTC99%
23 Sept, 09:50 UTC99%
23 Sept, 09:28 UTC99%
23 Sept, 06:56 UTC99%
23 Sept, 00:15 UTC99%
22 Sept, 23:53 UTC99%
22 Sept, 19:17 UTC99%
22 Sept, 18:58 UTC99%
22 Sept, 14:50 UTC99%
22 Sept, 12:57 UTC100%
22 Sept, 12:11 UTC100%
22 Sept, 09:05 UTC100%
22 Sept, 08:56 UTC99%
22 Sept, 06:45 UTC100%
22 Sept, 05:05 UTC100%
22 Sept, 00:59 UTC100%
22 Sept, 00:14 UTC100%
21 Sept, 20:34 UTC99%
21 Sept, 17:43 UTC100%
21 Sept, 10:17 UTC99%
21 Sept, 08:24 UTC100%
21 Sept, 07:28 UTC99%
21 Sept, 06:57 UTC98%
21 Sept, 06:19 UTC98%
21 Sept, 05:55 UTC98%
21 Sept, 05:09 UTC98%
21 Sept, 04:50 UTC97%
21 Sept, 03:42 UTC97%
21 Sept, 02:55 UTC96%
21 Sept, 02:27 UTC96%
21 Sept, 01:48 UTC95%
21 Sept, 01:19 UTC96%
21 Sept, 00:38 UTC95%
21 Sept, 00:24 UTC95%
20 Sept, 23:24 UTC95%
20 Sept, 22:22 UTC95%
20 Sept, 21:46 UTC95%
20 Sept, 21:07 UTC95%
20 Sept, 20:54 UTC95%
20 Sept, 20:03 UTC95%
20 Sept, 19:47 UTC96%
20 Sept, 19:07 UTC96%
20 Sept, 18:52 UTC96%
20 Sept, 17:59 UTC96%
20 Sept, 17:29 UTC97%
20 Sept, 16:57 UTC98%
20 Sept, 12:26 UTC98%
20 Sept, 08:07 UTC97%
20 Sept, 07:38 UTC97%
20 Sept, 06:58 UTC98%
20 Sept, 06:25 UTC97%
20 Sept, 05:46 UTC97%
20 Sept, 05:21 UTC97%
20 Sept, 04:53 UTC97%
20 Sept, 04:19 UTC97%
20 Sept, 03:56 UTC97%
20 Sept, 02:41 UTC97%
20 Sept, 02:27 UTC97%
20 Sept, 01:51 UTC98%
20 Sept, 01:24 UTC98%
20 Sept, 00:54 UTC97%
20 Sept, 00:28 UTC94%
19 Sept, 23:39 UTC94%
19 Sept, 23:19 UTC94%
19 Sept, 22:48 UTC96%
19 Sept, 22:22 UTC95%
19 Sept, 21:34 UTC95%
19 Sept, 21:05 UTC95%
19 Sept, 20:57 UTC95%
19 Sept, 18:58 UTC95%
19 Sept, 18:03 UTC95%
19 Sept, 16:48 UTC95%
19 Sept, 16:24 UTC95%
19 Sept, 15:56 UTC95%
19 Sept, 14:13 UTC96%
19 Sept, 13:04 UTC95%
19 Sept, 12:58 UTC95%
19 Sept, 12:07 UTC96%
19 Sept, 11:49 UTC96%
19 Sept, 11:25 UTC97%
19 Sept, 10:59 UTC96%
19 Sept, 10:15 UTC95%
19 Sept, 09:56 UTC95%
19 Sept, 09:13 UTC95%
19 Sept, 08:59 UTC96%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC96%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump meets with Narendra Modi in person between September 1 and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact face-to-face. Readers often mistake the linked story about India’s chipmaking bet for a relevant event, but only actual meetings between Trump and Modi count toward resolution.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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