Nuggets vs. Thunder
Implied probability 27%
24-hour volume$539k
Total volume$543k
Liquidity$3.1M
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 28% |
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What counts
The Nuggets outcome wins if Denver beats Oklahoma City in their scheduled October 22 game, while Thunder wins if they win. The result depends on the final score after any overtime periods. Readers often mistake a postponed game for a cancellation, but postponements keep the market open until the game is played.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Nuggets 27%
- Thunder 74%
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