NewsMarkets

Markets

Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?

Implied probability 82%+1
24-hour volume$46
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2028

Why it moved: −6 points at 12:00 UTC, after NME: ‘GTA 6’ teases new characters and locations in fresh image release — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?
0%50%100%82%5 Nov, 12:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now82%
7 Nov, 00:37 UTC82%
6 Nov, 21:38 UTC81%
6 Nov, 20:46 UTC82%
6 Nov, 12:00 UTC83%
5 Nov, 12:00 UTC89%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if Rockstar Games launches a full commercial Windows PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027. Beta versions, early access programs, or leaked builds do not count toward this deadline. Readers often mistake the confirmation of a release date for the actual availability of the game.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 82%
  • No 19%

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market