Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Implied probability 2%+1
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$859k
Liquidity$159k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
Alphabet must hold the highest global market capitalization at the exact moment the stock market closes on December 31, 2026. The outcome depends on which company tops the list based on that specific closing price data. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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