Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 61% |
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tesla and SpaceX officially announce a merger or acquisition by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. This includes partial sales that result in one company gaining controlling interest in the other. Readers often mistake credible rumors for official announcements, but only statements from Tesla or SpaceX or a consensus of credible reporting count as resolution sources.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 34%
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