Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$0
Resolved22 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 04:38 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 04:38 UTC | 14% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the specified video receives between 46 and 48 million views within its first 72 hours of posting. It resolves to No if the view count falls outside that range or if the video is not the one explicitly linked in the rules.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →