Will the Chicago Bears have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Why it moved: +3 points at 13:09 UTC, after SI Feed: Do Chicago Bears Play Today? Start Time and TV Schedule for Week 8 vs. Seahawks — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 81% |
| 31 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 78% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires the Chicago Bears to win more than 9 regular-season games in 2026. The No outcome applies if they win 9 or fewer games, or if the season is canceled or postponed past February 15, 2027. Readers often mistake playoff wins for regular-season wins, but only official regular-season results count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 81%
- No 19%
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