Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Implied probability 47%+1
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$278k
Liquidity$114k
Resolves25 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 47% |
| 22 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 46% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2027 Argentine presidential election, including any second round. It resolves to "No" if he does not win. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the results (October 31, 2028) as the election date itself.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 47%
- No 54%
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