Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 31% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if CXMT is fully removed from the official U.S. Department of Defense list by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The removal must be reflected in a subsequent official DoD publication or announcement; mere renaming, merger, or suspension of enforcement does not count. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the news story rather than the specific cutoff time on June 30, 2027.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 85%
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