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Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability 36%−2
24-hour volume$84k
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$675k
Resolves4 Nov 2026

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What counts

The "Yes" outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The "No" outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if no candidate is declared the winner by the resolution sources.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 36%
  • No 65%

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