Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$968
Total volume$48k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves by checking the Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on arena.ai at 12:00 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tencent owns the model with the highest rank among primarily Chinese companies at that time; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the source of truth for general news reports or other benchmarks instead of the specific arena.ai leaderboard.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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