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Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?

Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$400
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves5 Jun 2027
How the odds moved · Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?
0%50%100%4%5 Nov, 09:16 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
6 Nov, 09:16 UTC4%
5 Nov, 09:16 UTC4%

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What counts

The Yes outcome requires proof that the specific June 4 Orchard pool vulnerability was exploited on Zcash mainnet before the fix activates by December 31, 2026. The No outcome applies if no such exploitation occurs or if credible sources do not confirm it within the deadline. Readers often mistake new exploits after the fix for the original vulnerability, which disqualifies them from resolving the market.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 4%
  • No 96%

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