Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Implied probability 56%+1
24-hour volume$133k
Total volume$124k
Liquidity$236k
Resolves7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 7 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Nov, 17:30 UTC | 55% |
| 7 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Nov, 17:03 UTC | 56% |
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What counts
Real Madrid CF wins if they beat Valencia by two goals or more in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match on November 7. Otherwise, Valencia CF wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for the market resolution, which is based on the official final score published on laliga.com, not just the end of the game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Real Madrid CF 56%
- Valencia CF 44%
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