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Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Implied probability 3%−4
24-hour volume$71
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves16 Nov 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 12:10 UTC, after www.espn.com: Young superstar face-off: What Jackson Chourio and Junior Caminero bring to this World Series — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 World Series MVP?
0%50%100%3%24 Oct, 12:10 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
25 Oct, 14:27 UTC3%
25 Oct, 13:49 UTC3%
25 Oct, 13:17 UTC3%
25 Oct, 12:56 UTC3%
25 Oct, 12:10 UTC3%
24 Oct, 12:10 UTC7%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Junior Caminero is the sole winner of the 2026 World Series MVP award. It resolves to No if another player wins, if multiple players share the award, or if the series is cancelled without a winner announced by November 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the deadline for the announcement date rather than the specific cutoff time on that day.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3%
  • No 97%

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