Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by a consensus of official Republican Party sources. It resolves to No if he does not secure this specific outcome. Readers often mistake the final nominee for the resolution criteria, but any replacement before election day does not change the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%
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