Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$184k
Liquidity$50k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Alibaba owns the model ranked highest on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on September 30, 2026. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline or assume any public AI announcement counts toward the ranking.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →