Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?
Implied probability 0%−18
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves3 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 11:54 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 2% |
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What counts
This market resolves based on who becomes the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. The outcome is determined by official information from the United States Senate or announcements from the relevant party caucus, with credible reporting consensus as a backup.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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