Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
Implied probability 3%−2
24-hour volume$316
Total volume$52k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 06:14 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 03:35 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 20:36 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 20:00 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 15:53 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 14:45 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 12:55 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 11:48 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 08:54 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 05:11 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 02:50 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 00:21 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 03:28 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 15:42 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 14:36 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic's implied fully diluted valuation at its IPO price falls between $2 trillion and $2.25 trillion. The No outcome applies if the valuation is outside this range or if the IPO does not price by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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