Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$3.0M
Liquidity$102k
Resolves6 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 17:40 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 4% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Yes resolves if George Russell finishes first in the 2026 F1 Drivers' standings, including any tiebreaks used by Formula 1. No resolves if he does not finish first or becomes mathematically eliminated from contention. The deadline is March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, and the source of truth is official Formula 1 information.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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