Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Implied probability 75%+2
24-hour volume$93k
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$160k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mary Peltola wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, including any required run-offs. It resolves to No if she loses that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for the official certification date instead of the date when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 26%