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Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability 97%+1
24-hour volume$959
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%50%100%97%21 Oct, 19:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now97%
23 Oct, 16:07 UTC97%
23 Oct, 11:27 UTC97%
23 Oct, 10:10 UTC97%
23 Oct, 08:07 UTC97%
23 Oct, 03:41 UTC97%
22 Oct, 19:23 UTC96%
21 Oct, 19:23 UTC95%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ranks in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or list published by France Football. The market resolves to No if he misses that cutoff, if the award cancels, or if the final rankings remain undetermined after November 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the date of the October 26 ceremony for the deadline, but the actual cutoff is the late November timestamp.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 97%
  • No 3%

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