Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?
Implied probability 23%−1
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 12:16 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Nov, 11:55 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 09:22 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 24% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 23% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on the final domestic gross for the three-day opening weekend of November 6–8. You must check the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers website to see if the reported figure is less than $28 million. Readers often mistake preliminary studio estimates for the final numbers that determine the outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 78%
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