Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$802
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$0
Resolved22 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 22 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 100% |
| 21 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 97% |
What counts
The outcome depends on which show ranks second on Netflix's Top 10 list for the week of September 14–20, 2026. Readers often mistake the renewal news for a ranking result or check the wrong day's data. The market resolves based on the update posted by September 25, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →