Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?
Why it moved: −7 points at 06:23 UTC, after NPR World: France announces nightly curfews 'for as long as necessary' in Paris and other cities — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 67% |
| 21 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 59% |
| 21 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 50% |
| 20 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if at least one full calendar day passes in Paris without any curfew being in effect between the market's creation date and October 31, inclusive. A curfew counts only if it is an official government order restricting public movement for the general population within Paris city limits.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 62%
- No 39%
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