Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$329
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 16 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Sept, 10:47 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Sept, 09:33 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 02:35 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 00:32 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 23:44 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 20:02 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 19:22 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 18:21 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 12:43 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 11:36 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 10:37 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 02:04 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 02:04 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 93%
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