FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5
The market favoured Under at 56% a day out, but Over won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$71k
Total volume$71k
Liquidity$87k
Resolved22 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 22 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 100% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 45% |
What counts
The Over outcome requires the two teams to score a combined total of four or more goals during regular play and stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their combined goal count stays below four. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result counts only if the game finishes on September 22, but postponed matches remain open until completion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 100%
- Under 0%
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