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Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?

Implied probability 2%−2
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves4 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 15:59 UTC, after Variety: Box Office: ‘Verity’ Makes $4.5 Million in Previews, ‘Digger’ Behind With $1.2 Million — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
0%50%100%2%1 Oct, 15:51 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
2 Oct, 16:37 UTC2%
2 Oct, 16:23 UTC1%
2 Oct, 15:59 UTC1%
1 Oct, 15:51 UTC5%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the domestic opening weekend gross for "Verity" falls between $22 million and $25 million, based on final figures from The Numbers website. The source of truth is the finalized 3-day box office performance data listed under the Weekend Box Office Performance tab on that site.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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