Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Implied probability 71%−5
24-hour volume$311k
Total volume$7.2M
Liquidity$170k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Yes resolves if Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or, and No resolves if he does not. The deadline for resolution is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked story about his contract extension as relevant to the award outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 71%
- No 29%